Lab
Read the thinking
“The wise man affirms nothing he cannot prove” (Sapiens nihil affirmat quod non probat). The design notes and specifications behind the artifacts, linked through to the Publications where they exist.
The Touchstone method: source credibility Stable
How we weight many heterogeneous sources into one defensible market estimate: a credibility prior, a resolution rule, liveness and recency adjustment, de-duplication, and weighted Monte-Carlo composition.